Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.003043 0.003186 0.003331 0.003490 0.003660 0.003836 0.004032
2025-02-23 0.002770 0.002982 0.003205 0.003460 0.003744 0.004050 0.004408
2025-03-02 0.002638 0.002893 0.003171 0.003496 0.003869 0.004286 0.004789
2025-03-09 0.002508 0.002791 0.003106 0.003483 0.003926 0.004433 0.005063
2025-03-16 0.002395 0.002698 0.003041 0.003460 0.003961 0.004548 0.005296
2025-03-23 0.002282 0.002599 0.002961 0.003410 0.003957 0.004611 0.005463
2025-03-30 0.002187 0.002513 0.002891 0.003367 0.003957 0.004674 0.005626
2025-04-06 0.002125 0.002464 0.002861 0.003368 0.004007 0.004797 0.005868
2025-04-13 0.002015 0.002351 0.002749 0.003263 0.003918 0.004739 0.005869
2025-04-20 0.001967 0.002313 0.002727 0.003267 0.003966 0.004855 0.006102
2025-04-27 0.001944 0.002304 0.002739 0.003314 0.004068 0.005044 0.006440
2025-05-04 0.001886 0.002248 0.002691 0.003281 0.004065 0.005092 0.006585
2025-05-11 0.001839 0.002206 0.002658 0.003268 0.004086 0.005176 0.006786
2025-05-18 0.001788 0.002157 0.002616 0.003241 0.004089 0.005233 0.006950
2025-05-25 0.001767 0.002145 0.002620 0.003274 0.004174 0.005405 0.007288
2025-06-01 0.001727 0.002109 0.002592 0.003262 0.004194 0.005487 0.007497
2025-06-08 0.001687 0.002070 0.002557 0.003241 0.004200 0.005548 0.007674
2025-06-15 0.001638 0.002019 0.002507 0.003195 0.004170 0.005553 0.007765
2025-06-22 0.001595 0.001974 0.002462 0.003156 0.004148 0.005569 0.007872
2025-06-29 0.001569 0.001951 0.002447 0.003157 0.004183 0.005670 0.008117
2025-07-06 0.001508 0.001880 0.002364 0.003061 0.004072 0.005549 0.007999
2025-07-13 0.001486 0.001861 0.002352 0.003064 0.004109 0.005650 0.008247
2025-07-20 0.001480 0.001862 0.002368 0.003107 0.004203 0.005844 0.008657